Chief Financial Officer Peter Kellogg told analysts and investors Thursday that
Kellogg made his comments at the Strategic Decisions conference, organized by Sanford C. Bernstein, in response to a question from Timothy Anderson, Bernstein's pharmaceuticals analyst. Anderson noted that Merck had previously stated it intends to have free cash flow of $15 billion by 2013, potentially making a bigger payout possible. (Click here for a transcript of Merck's presentation at Strategic Decisions.)
In a note to investors Friday, Anderson noted that Merck shares already have a dividend yield around 6%. Right now, Merck has committed only to maintaining its current dividend after the merger, but any increase could make the new company "the highest-yielding drug stock," Anderson says, "and this would probably be received well." He writes that his calculations show no increase is likely until next year.
Investors are already looking for a dividend increase from Merck's longtime rival
Both Merck and Pfizer are facing patent expirations on top-selling drugs, but their respective mergers will allow for dramatic cost cuts. Year-to-date, Merck shares have dropped 10% and Pfizer shares are down 15%.
Aside from patent expirations, Merck is facing disappointing sales of its Gardasil vaccine for the virus that causes cervical cancer and eroding sales of the cholesterol drugs Vytorin and Zetia, which it sells with Schering.